Tremonti: «Non era prevedibile, scriverò un libro sull'argomento».
L'hanno già scritto, Giulio. Si chiama "Il Capitale" Vol.3:
The accumulation of capital, the general advancement of techniques and scale of production, and the inexorable trend to oligopoly by the victors of capitalist market competition, all involve a general tendency for the degree of capital intensity, i.e., the "organic composition of capital" of production to rise. All else constant, this leads to a fall in the rate of profit, which leads to a slow-down of accumulation and attempts to remedy this either within the circuit of production or by non-production means such as the financialization based booms of the 1920s or 1990s and early 2000s.
Since only real production can be the basis of sustained accumulation at the macroeconomic and international scale, the failure of such remedies can result in panic and systemic crisis.
La finanza e i derivati (che sono ancora tutti lì nonostante la crisi di 2 anni fa) sono grandi 8 volte il PIL dell'economia reale del mondo (fonte: IlSole24ore). 8 volte. Un pachiderma di aria fritta che consente guadagni enormi in tempi brevissimi agli speculatori ma danneggia drammaticamente i Paesi colpiti dalle vendite.
Info:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tendency_of_the_rate_of_profit_to_fall
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